Key takeaways
- Prediction markets vs voting comes down to who sits across from you: in a prediction market you trade against other people on terms the platform sets, while in a Temptation Token round you vote into a pool on Base that pays out by a fixed, public split.
- A round still carries real risk, because a weighted random draw picks the winner, only the top voter on the winning profile takes the voter share, and votes on losing profiles burn.
Prediction markets vs voting comes down to who sits across from you: in a prediction market you trade against other people on terms the platform sets, while in a Temptation Token round you vote into a pool on Base that pays out by a fixed, public split. A round still carries real risk, because a weighted random draw picks the winner, only the top voter on the winning profile takes the voter share, and votes on losing profiles burn. Here is what a voter controls, what they do not, and where the catch sits.
What is the real difference in prediction markets vs voting?
Both carry risk. Only one of them puts a stranger on the other side of your money.
Prediction markets are not small anymore. A Pew Research Center analysis found combined monthly trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket more than doubled in two months, from $26 billion to $53 billion, mostly on sports. So the pitch is everywhere. Pick a side. Name your price. Win if the world goes your way.
That is a fair product for some people. It is not what we built. Let me explain the line between the two, plainly, including the parts where a round can go against you. You are shopping for the catch, so I will show it to you.
Who is on the other side of a prediction market trade?
Another trader is. When you buy a contract on an outcome, somebody else holds the opposite view, and your gain is their loss.
The platform lists the market, writes the question and sets the rules for how it resolves. Regulators and courts still argue over what these contracts even are. As CCN reports, Kalshi and Polymarket US run on federally regulated derivatives infrastructure, while several states and tribes argue sports event contracts amount to unlicensed gambling. That fight is not settled, and it is not ours to settle.
Here is the real problem for a newcomer. The people across the table can be full-time traders. They watch the order book. They move fast. A curious adult with a phone and a hunch is playing their game on their terms.
Markets also swing hard with the calendar. The Block tracked a record month driven by a single tournament, and a single final drew roughly $1.9 billion on Kalshi alone. Big events pull in big money, and that money is mostly someone else’s skin in the game.
What does a voter actually control in a round?
A voter controls three things: which profile to back, how many votes to cast, and when to cast them before the round closes. Nobody sets a price on you, and no trader takes the other side.
Which profile
Up to 50 approved profiles compete in a round. You vote by sending $TTS to the voting contract on the profile you choose. You can back one profile or spread votes across several. That choice is yours alone.
How many votes
The minimum vote is 5 $TTS. A wallet with no eligible stake can vote at most 500 $TTS in a single transaction, and it can vote again. Each $TTS voted counts as one ticket in the draw for that wallet. You can add votes at any point while the round is open.
There is one guardrail. The contract refuses a vote that would lift a profile above 40% of all $TTS voted in the round. That limit does not apply while a single profile holds every vote cast. The point is simple: no one profile gets to swallow the round.
When
Each round lasts one week and closes on Sunday night, US Eastern time. Onchain, every round ends at Monday 04:59:00 UTC. You decide whether to vote early, late or both, inside that window.
What can a voter not control in a round?
You cannot control anyone else’s votes, and you cannot control the draw. Those two facts are where the risk lives.
Other players vote whenever they like and as much as the rules allow. A profile you back can pull ahead on Monday and fall behind by Sunday. You cannot stop that, and you cannot see the future.
Then the round closes. Chainlink VRF draws the winning profile at random, weighted by tickets. More votes give a profile better odds. No profile is guaranteed to win. A long shot can take the round, and a favourite can lose it.
Settlement runs through the operator’s own keeper service. If you want the detail on why the draw cannot be steered, read our piece on provably fair voting.
Where is the catch in a vote round?
The catch is that most votes do not come back. If your profile loses, your votes are gone, and even on the winning profile only the top voter takes the voter share.
Here is how the money moves. The prize pool is only the $TTS voted on the winning profile. Without a club, the voting contract splits it 35% to the top voter, 35% to the winning profile’s wallet, 10% to the charity wallet and 20% to the house, Blockchain Entertainment LLC. With a registered club code, it pays 35% to the top voter, 35% to the profile, 10% to charity, 10% to the club and 10% to the house.
The top voter is the wallet that voted the most $TTS in total on the winning profile. On a tie, the wallet that reached that total first keeps the place. Every other voter on that profile gets no share of the pool.
After payouts, the contract sends all $TTS left over, the votes on profiles that did not win, to the burn address. Those tokens leave circulation for good. They do not go to the house and they do not go to another player.
So read this twice. Votes are final. You cannot withdraw or reduce them once placed. In the words the app itself shows: “Votes are final and non-refundable.”
The honest comparison, then, is this. A prediction market can pay you if you read the world better than the trader across from you. A round pays one voter per round, by a weighted draw, from a pool anyone can read, and the rest of the votes burn. One is a contest of wits against strangers. The other is a contest with known odds, a fixed split and a clear chance of walking away with nothing.
How can you check a round yourself onchain?
You check it on Base. Every vote, every split and every trophy happens in public contracts you can look up yourself.
- Find the chain. Temptation Token runs on Base mainnet, chain ID 8453.
- Read the voting contract. TTSVotingV3d sits at 0x783b8cd80b586b723188c93ef94ee1beede617b4. It sets the split and pays every share in $TTS, straight to wallets, in the settlement transaction.
- Look for the trophies. At settlement the contract mints three TTS Round Trophy NFTs: one to the winning profile’s wallet, one to the top voter and one to the house wallet. The Trophy NFT contract is 0x02DDd0e63DC2A5F66Fdb5a46F5981191959AC9A5.
- Follow the charity share. The 10% charity share goes to 0xf7dD429D679CB61231e73785fD1737E60138ABa3, labelled as Polaris Project donations. Here is how that works.
- Watch the burn. Losing votes go to 0x000000000000000000000000000000000000dEaD.
That is the line I care about most. In a market, the other side of your trade is a person you never meet. In a round, the other side is a contract anyone can read. A round with no votes has no winner, no payout and no trophies, and the chain shows that too. For the full path from first vote to trophy, see round mechanics explained.
Frequently asked questions
Do I need to buy $TTS to play Temptation Token?
No purchase is needed to play. A new wallet receives a one-time signup bonus of 500 $TTS when it first connects in the app, paid by the operator from its own wallet, which covers votes at the 5 $TTS minimum. The operator also matches a wallet’s first vote 1:1 once, and it caps how many bonuses and matches it pays each day.
No purchase is needed to play. A new wallet receives a one-time signup bonus of 500 $TTS when it first connects in the app, paid by the operator from its own wallet, which covers votes at the 5 $TTS minimum. The operator also matches a wallet’s first vote 1:1 once, and it caps how many bonuses and matches it pays each day.
Is there a fee when I vote with $TTS?
Votes carry no transfer tax, because the voting contract is tax-exempt. Other $TTS transfers between non-exempt wallets pay a 1% tax to the treasury. Every Base transaction, a vote included, still needs a small amount of ETH on Base for gas, so keep a little in the wallet before you start.
Votes carry no transfer tax, because the voting contract is tax-exempt. Other $TTS transfers between non-exempt wallets pay a 1% tax to the treasury. Every Base transaction, a vote included, still needs a small amount of ETH on Base for gas, so keep a little in the wallet before you start.
What is a club code in Temptation Token?
A club code links a submitted profile to a registered club, and it is optional at submission. If a club-coded profile wins, the club’s wallet receives 10% of the pool and the house share drops to 10%. Clubs register by request to support@temptationtoken.io, and the operator approves each one, so registration is not self-serve.
A club code links a submitted profile to a registered club, and it is optional at submission. If a club-coded profile wins, the club’s wallet receives 10% of the pool and the house share drops to 10%. Clubs register by request to support@temptationtoken.io, and the operator approves each one, so registration is not self-serve.
Who can enter a profile into a round?
Any adult who passes a one-time ID and selfie check can submit a photo in the app’s Submit tab. Each submission costs 5 $TTS, paid to the house and non-refundable, and a wallet can make up to 3 submissions per week. Photos must be clothed and safe for work, and an admin reviews every one before it appears.
Any adult who passes a one-time ID and selfie check can submit a photo in the app’s Submit tab. Each submission costs 5 $TTS, paid to the house and non-refundable, and a wallet can make up to 3 submissions per week. Photos must be clothed and safe for work, and an admin reviews every one before it appears.
Does the Telegram VIP Vault give extra votes or tokens?
No. The VIP Vault in the @TTSGameBot Telegram bot is a paid community membership, paid in Telegram Stars. It does not include $TTS, vote multipliers or NFTs. The bot itself confirms you are 18 or older, opens the game inside Telegram and links to the leaderboard and contract details.
No. The VIP Vault in the @TTSGameBot Telegram bot is a paid community membership, paid in Telegram Stars. It does not include $TTS, vote multipliers or NFTs. The bot itself confirms you are 18 or older, opens the game inside Telegram and links to the leaderboard and contract details.
The Bottom Line
If you want to trade your read of the world against other traders, a prediction market is built for that. If you want one round, one vote, a fixed split and a draw anyone can audit, that is what we run. Neither one is a sure thing. A round can go against you, and the app says it plainly: “$TTS is a utility token for playing the contest.”
The one thing to try: connect a wallet, take the signup bonus and cast a single minimum vote on a profile you like. Then watch the round settle on Base. If you need help with the wallet first, start with connecting your wallet to Base, and if you still wonder about the gambling question, read what a round actually pays on. Questions go to support@temptationtoken.io, or to me at jim@temptationtoken.io. Join.
Play at app.temptationtoken.io.
Sources
- Prediction markets’ trading volume doubled between May and July, largely driven by sports — Pew Research Center
- Are Prediction Markets Gambling? Inside the Fight Over Kalshi, Polymarket and Sports Contracts — CCN
- Kalshi and Polymarket's combined volume reaches all-time high in July, surpassing $50 billion — The Block
Nothing here is financial advice. Digital assets carry risk, including the risk of total loss.
